It has been a little under 50 days since the democratically elected president Manuel Zelaya was ousted from Honduras and exiled to Costa Rica. I won’t get into details as most of you reading this should know by now the full story. If you don’t you are welcome to google it.
I want to focus on the what are the odds of Manuel Zelaya returning to power . Let us start off by looking at what Zelaya’s allies are doing.
Hugo Chavez, by far his closest ally. After Zelaya was deposed Chavez started an international campaign to let the world know what had happened in Honduras. Everyone fell in line and for more than two weeks Honduras was the center of the world. Chavez managed to get the international community on Zelaya’s side.
Hugo Chavez’s now: After closing hundreds of radio and tv stations in Venezuela, Chavez is being hit hard by the opposition. Some international identities have taken interest in the situation. On top of that he has being in verbal fights with his neighbor country Colombia, over U.S military bases that will soon be opened close to the Venezuelan border.
Correa : The Ecuadorian president stood alongside Zelaya, he also join the campaign to denounce the current Honduran government.
Correa now: A few weeks ago a video was released. In the video, the FARC General admitted that he had given Correa’s organization money for their campaign. Media outlets are all over this news in Ecuador, making it hard for Correa to help his ally.
CNN: This network seemed to have exclusive cover of the Honduran situation; they focused on it like no other network did. CNN was the voice of Honduras to the world, even though one could argue that most of it was inaccurate information, which is a discussion for another day. They also supported Zelaya and gave him and his people a lot of air time.
CNN Now: President Obama’s Health Care is at the moment the biggest thing going on in the U.S.A. CNN has lost its ratings to another media giant FOX News. To regain their audience CNN is focusing completely on the Health Care bill.
President Obama: Although he never stood fully by Zelaya’s side, he did say that Zelaya should be put back in power. Chavez tried convincing the U.S to take a stronger stand on the Honduran situation, but it never happened.
Obama now: His time and energy is concentrated on his Health Care bill, which has been strongly opposed by the U.S. citizens. To the point that Obama is being compared to Hitler, Lenin, Stalin and other megalomaniacs. I can assure you that Honduras is the last thing on Obama’s mind.
Hillary Clinton: She took a stronger stance than Obama, but had the negotiations go to Costa Rica. Taking herself out of the picture.
Clinton now: With all the Health Care problems going on in the U.S, she has slowly distanced herself from Obama, focusing more on North Korea and Africa. It has being a while since the Secretary of State has given her opinion on Honduras.
We are two to three months away from the elections, Zelaya's allies seem to be too busy doing something else. Do you think he'll ever get back in power? And if he does, what will happen with the 6 month he had left, will he extend his term to July 2009? Let me know what you think, and please vote on the left side if you believe that he will be able to end his term as President of Honduras.
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